Max Verstappen is on his way to winning the World Championship in 2022, but when will he be able to do so?
Max Verstappen will show up to the FIA prize-giving ceremony in December as a two-time winner, barring a disastrous finale to the 2022 Formula 1 season for him and Red Bull.
After winning the Dutch Grand Prix at home, the Dutch driver has collected 10 victories from 15 races this season, giving him a 109-point lead over teammate Sergio Perez and Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc with 7 races remaining.
For Verstappen, the question is not if but then when. When will team manager Christian Horner yell “MAX VERSTAPPEN, YOU ARE THE WORLD CHAMPION, THE WORLD CHAMPION” over the radio?
The permutations have been analyzed by RacingNews365 to determine when Verstappen may defend his championship.
Although Toto Wolff, the head of Mercedes, said Verstappen may win the championship before the following race, when Formula One leaves Europe, this is pretty about impossible.
Consider a situation in which Verstappen wins the Italian Grand Prix, earning 26 points for the fastest lap, while the closest competitors Perez and Leclerc withdraw.
Verstappen would therefore have a 164 point advantage over Perez heading into the last six races.
Instead, it is far more likely that Verstappen will be crowned in Japan (three races’ time) or in the United States in the next race after that.
Perez can get up to 391 points from his latest total of 201 points (after Zandvoort), so he grabs every one he can, leaving Verstappen scoreless for the remainder of the season.
Verstappen needs an additional 90 points to win the championship, bringing his total to 391; however, he currently has 301.
The table below outlines how many points Verstappen must lead after each race to win the championship.
WHEN CAN MAX VERSTAPPEN WIN THE 2022 F1 TITLE
Race | Points needed to be ahead |
---|---|
Italy | Can’t win title |
Singapore | 138 |
Japan | 112 |
United States | 86 |
Mexico | 60 |
Brazil | 26 |
Abu Dhabi | 1 |
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